Inflation is the rate at which prices for goods and services rise over time, reducing the purchasing power of your money. In simple terms: when inflation goes up, your dollar doesn’t stretch as far. When prices rise too quickly — or stay too high for too long — it can strain households, businesses, and the economy overall.

Inflation can happen for many reasons, such as:

  • Higher production costs (like raw materials or wages)

  • Increased consumer demand

  • Supply chain disruptions

  • Government policies (like taxes or tariffs)

Trump’s Policies and Inflation

Despite promising to “eliminate” inflation, most economists agree that Donald Trump’s second-term policies will do the opposite.

Tariffs Raise Prices: Trump is now proposing a universal 10% tariff on all imports, with even steeper rates on goods from China. This would represent one of the largest across-the-board tax hikes on imported goods in modern U.S. history. Economists say these costs will almost certainly be passed directly to consumers, raising prices on everyday essentials — from groceries and clothing to electronics, appliances, and vehicles. Even American-made products could become more expensive, since many rely on imported parts.

Labor Shortages = Higher Wages = Higher Prices: Trump’s plan to deport millions of undocumented workers will shrink the U.S. labor force, especially in industries like agriculture, construction, and hospitality. Fewer workers mean higher labor costs — which again lead to higher prices.

Expert Warnings:

  • Sixteen Nobel Prize-winning economists cautioned that Trump’s agenda would “reignite inflation”, reversing the hard-won decline from the 9% peak in 2022

  • The nonpartisan Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE) projects that by Trump’s second term midpoint, inflation could spike back to ~6–9%. In other words, the U.S. could re-experience multi-decade high inflation levels. 

 

  • Penn Wharton Budget Model analysts confirm “there’s no question that tariffs are inflationary.”

 

  •  Capital Economics projects that consumer price index growth could rise from its current level of 2.4% to approximately double the Federal Reserve’s target rate by summer.
 
Trump’s plans — heavy tariffs and large-scale deportations — could make inflation much worse. According to economists, the result could be a return to multi-decade high inflation, hurting American families and slowing economic growth.